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Posted by Marcus Zillman


From politics to sports to market research to just about every conceivable business venture, the ability to accurately – or even semi-accurately – predict the future comes with profound benefits. It is no surprise, then, that economist David M. Rothschild’s PredictWise has become so popular among pundits of all kinds. Using peer-reviewed prediction and sentiment models, Rothschild accurately predicted 50 of 51 Electoral College outcomes in February of 2012, an average of 20 of 24 Oscars from 2013 to 2015, and 15 of 15 knockout games in the 2014 World Cup. Readers may like to begin by scouting the latest political figures, which currently predict Democratic victories in both the presidential election and the upcoming Senate race. From there, scan the Sports section (as of May 12, 2016 the Chicago Cubs have a 20 percent chance of winning the world series), as well as predictions Entertainment and Economic/Financial. Readers will also find a link to Rothschild’s blog, where he unpacks some of his predictions in
greater detail. This will be added to Prediction Markets Subject Tracer™. From The Scout Report, Copyright Internet Scout 1994-2016.

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